Bills at Jets Betting Pick: Week 1

The Buffalo Bills travel to take on the New York Jets, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. Kickoff for this week 1 game is set for 8:15 PM ET and will be televised on ABC.

The odds for this week 1 AFC East matchup have the Bills as the 2.5 point favorites against the spread. Read on to get our betting insights for this week 1 matchup.

Betting Odds for Jets vs. Bills

Spread: Bills -2 | Jets +2.5
Total: 46.5
MoneyLine: Bills -138 | Jets +113

Why You Should Bet on the Jets

As the new season approaches, the Jets are aiming for some improvement after wrapping up last season in last place in the AFC-East and holding the 10th spot within the AFC. New York’s complete record stood at 7-10, which included a 4-5 road record and 3-5 when playing at home. In games against divisional opponents, the Jets were 2-4 record.

New York ended last season with an over/under record of 5-12 and finished with an average scoring differential of -1.2. Against the spread, the Jets went 8-9, including 3-5 ATS at home and 5-4 on the road. For the season, New York was favored five times.

Aaron Rodgers comes over to the Jets after playing for the Packers last season. In the 2022-2023 season, he finished with a passer rating of 91.1 and threw for 3695 yards in 17 games. Rodgers’ touchdown to interception ratio for the season was 26/12.

In the backfield, the Jets will be looking for a big season from Dalvin Cook, who is coming over from the Vikings. Last year, he averaged 4 yards per attempt and a total of 1173 yards on the ground.

Aaron Rodgers will be relying on Garrett Wilson, who led the Jets’ wide receiver group last season with 1103 receiving yards while hauling in four touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Bills

Last season, the Bills put together a regular season record of 13-3 and finished 1st in the AFC-East. Buffalo’s season came to an end in a Divisional Round loss to the Bengals (27-10). The Bills went 5-2 in divisional games last season. At home, they put together a record of 8-2 while going 6-2 on the road.

Last season, the Bills put together an ATS record of 7-10-1 which included going 4-4 at home and 3-6-1 at home. The team’s OU record for the season was 7-11 with 10 of their games failing to surpass this week’s line of 46.5 points.

Last season, Josh Allen completed 63.3% of his passes for a total of 4283 yards. For the season, he finished 7th among QB’s in passing yards and 2nd in touchdowns (35). Allen’s passer rating for the season was 96.6 (16th).

Heading into the game, the Bills have James Cook listed as the number one running back on the depth chart. Cook is entering his 2nd season and finished with 507 rushing yards last season. Quarterback Josh Allen actually led the team in rushing attempts last season and finished with 762 yards.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Bills are returning last year’s two most productive players. Stefon Diggs caught 108 balls for 1429 yards last season. Gabe Davis finished with 836 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

After opening as the 3.0-point road favorites, the Bills are still favored, but the lines have shifted down to -2.5.

One trend working in the Jets’ favor in this matchup is the fact that home underdogs covered the spread at a rate of 55.6% last season. Look for the Jets to cover the spread in this week one matchup vs. the Bills.

BetByState Expert Pick: Jets +2.5

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