Dolphins at Chargers Betting Pick: Week 1

On Sunday, September 10th at 4:25 PM ET, the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. CBS is carrying television coverage the for game.

The odds for this week 1 AFC matchup have the Chargers as the 3 point favorites at home. Will the Chargers pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Sunday.

Betting Odds for Chargers vs. Dolphins

Spread: Dolphins +3 | Chargers -3
Total: 50.5
MoneyLine: Dolphins +134 | Chargers -164

Why You Should Bet on the Chargers

Coming off a 10-7 season and a loss in the Wild Card round, the Chargers will be looking for a deeper playoff run this season. In the AFC-West, the Chargers were 2-4 and finished 2nd in the standings. On the road, Los Angeles was 5-5 compared to 5-3 at home.

Against the spread, the Chargers went 11-6-1 last season. Los Angeles was favored in 12 of their 18 games last season. As the favorite, they went 9-3 straight up and 6-5-1 against the spread. The Chargers finished with an over/under mark of 8-9-1.

Last season, Justin Herbert completed 68.2% of his passes for a total of 4739 yards. For the season, he finished 2nd among QB’s in passing yards and 6th in touchdowns (25). Herbert’s passer rating for the season was 93.2 (21st).

In the backfield, the Chargers are welcoming back Austin Ekeler who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 915 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Ekeler is entering his 7th season in the league.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Chargers are returning last year’s two most productive players. Mike Williams caught 63 balls for 895 yards last season. Joshua Palmer finished with 769 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Dolphins

Looking back to last season, the Dolphins finished with a record of 9-8 and lost a Wild-Card round matchup with the Bills (34-31). Miami’s road record last year was 3-7 and 6-2 at home. In the AFC-East, the Dolphins finished 2nd while going 3-4 in games within their division.

Last season, the Dolphins put together an ATS record of 10-8 which included going 5-5 at home and 5-3 at home. The team’s OU record for the season was 9-9 with 11 of their games failing to surpass this week’s line of 50.5 points.

Last season, Tua Tagovailoa completed 64.8% of his passes for a total of 3548 yards. For the season, he finished 12th among QB’s in passing yards and 6th in touchdowns (25). Tagovailoa’s passer rating for the season was 105.5 (4th).

In the backfield, the Dolphins are welcoming back Raheem Mostert who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 891 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Mostert is entering his 9th season in the league.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Dolphins are returning last year’s two most productive players. Tyreek Hill caught 119 balls for 1710 yards last season. Jaylen Waddle finished with 1356 receiving yards and eight touchdowns.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

The Chargers opened as 2.5 favorites at home and since then, the oddsmakers have shifted the lines to -3 in their favor.

I know that this season is a fresh start and last year has come and gone, but the I do like that the Dolphins were above .500 vs. the spread last year. The value on the Dolphins at +3 is too good to pass up. I like the Dolphins to cover in this one.

BetByState Expert Pick: Dolphins +3

Where to Bet This Game

On Sunday, September 10th, the Giants are hosting the Cowboys at MetLife Stadium. This week 1 NFL matchup kicks off at 8:20 ET with NBC carrying the television coverage.

The odds for this week 1 NFC East matchup have the Cowboys as the 3 point favorites against the spread. Read on to get our betting insights for this week 1 matchup.

Betting Odds for Giants vs. Cowboys

Spread: Cowboys -3 | Giants +3
Total: 46.5
MoneyLine: Cowboys -175 | Giants +141

Why You Should Bet on the Giants

Last season, the Giants put together a regular season record of 9-7-1 and finished 3rd in the NFC-East. New York’s season came to an end in a Divisional Round loss to the Eagles (38-7). The Giants went 1-5-1 in divisional games last season. At home, they put together a record of 5-3-1 while going 5-5 on the road.

Against the spread, the Giants put together a record of 13-5-1 on an average scoring margin of -1.6 points per game. As the favorite, the Giants were 3-2 vs. the spread while going 10-3-1 (ATS) as the underdog. New York’s over/under record came in at 8-11.

Last season, Daniel Jones completed 67.2% of his passes for a total of 3205 yards. For the season, he finished 15th among QB’s in passing yards and 13th in touchdowns (15). Jones’ passer rating for the season was 92.5 (23rd).

In the backfield, the Giants are welcoming back Saquon Barkley who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1312 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Barkley is entering his 6th season in the league.

Daniel Jones will be relying on Darius Slayton, who led the Giants’ wide receiver group last season with 724 receiving yards while hauling in two touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Cowboys

In the 2022-2023 season, the Cowboys finished with a regular season record of 12-5 and were 2nd in the NFC-East. The season’s end arrived with a Divisional Round loss to the 49ers by a score of 19-12. Within divisional games, the Cowboys went 4-2. At home, they fnished with a record of 8-1, while on the road, they were 5-5.

Dallas’ over/under record last season wrapped up at 9-10 with their games averaging 46.6 points per contest. When looking at how they finished vs. the spread, they were 11-8 with an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game.

Last season, Dak Prescott completed 66.2% of his passes for a total of 2860 yards. For the season, he finished 20th among QB’s in passing yards and 8th in touchdowns (23). Prescott’s passer rating for the season was 91.1 (26th).

In the backfield, the Cowboys are welcoming back Tony Pollard who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1007 rushing yards and averaged 5 yards per attempt. Pollard is entering his 5th season in the league.

Dak Prescott will be relying on CeeDee Lamb, who led the Cowboys’ wide receiver group last season with 1359 receiving yards while hauling in nine touchdowns.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

After the lines opened with the Cowboys favored by 2.5, the Cowboys have now become even more of a favorite, currently sitting at -3.

My point-spread pick for this Cowboys vs. Giants matchup is to take the Giants to cover at home. As of now, they are 3-point underdogs and I expect them to cover at this number.

BetByState Expert Pick: Giants +3

Where to Bet This Game

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