Jaguars at Colts Betting Pick: Week 1

Kickoff for the Jaguars and Colts matchup on Sunday, September 10th is set for 1:00 ET. This week 1 NFL showdown will be televised on FOX.

In a matchup between two AFC South teams, the Jaguars are 5 point favorites on the road. See if we think the Jaguars have what it takes to cover?

Betting Odds for Colts vs. Jaguars

Spread: Jaguars -5 | Colts +5
Total: 45
MoneyLine: Jaguars -226 | Colts +180

Why You Should Bet on the Colts

The Colts are entering the new season after a previous campaign that saw them end with an overall record of 4-12-1. Within the AFC-South, Indianapolis finished 3rd with a record of 1-4-1 record when facing divisional opponents. At home the Colts concluded with a 2-6 record, and they went 2-6-1 on the road.

Looking back to last season, the average over/under line for the Colts was 42.7 points leading to an over/under record of 7-10 for the Colts. Against the spread, Indianapolis was 6-11 with an average scoring margin of -8.1 point pere game.

The Colts will be looking forward to the regular season debut of rookie Anthony Richardson. Indianapolis drafted Richardson in the 1st round out of Florida. Also on the roster is Gardner Minshew, who played for the Eagles last season. Last season, Minshew played in five in games and finished with 663 passing yards. His overall passer rating for the season was 83.4 which was 42nd among QB’s.

Heading into the game, the Colts have Deon Jackson listed as the number one running back on the depth chart. Jackson is entering his 3rd season and finished with 236 rushing yards last season. Also in the backfield group is Jonathan Taylor, who led the team in attempts last season ran for 861 yards.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Colts are returning last year’s two most productive players. Michael Pittman Jr. caught 99 balls for 925 yards last season. Alec Pierce finished with 593 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Jaguars

During the previous season, the Jaguars compiled a regular season record of 9-8 and ended in 1st in the AFC-South. Their season concluded in the Divisional Round, marked by a loss to the Chiefs with a score of 27-20. Within divisional games, the Jaguars achieved a 4-2 performance. On their own turf, they went 6-3, while on the road, they posted a record of 4-6.

Last season, the Jaguars were 5-4 vs. the spread at home and 5-5 on the road. Overall, they were favored in five of their 19 games, going 2-3 straight-up and 1-4 ATS. As the underdog, they were 9-5 vs. the spread. Jacksonville wrapped up the season with an over/under record of 9-10.

Last season, Trevor Lawrence completed 66.3% of his passes for a total of 4113 yards. For the season, he finished 9th among QB’s in passing yards and 6th in touchdowns (25). Lawrence’s passer rating for the season was 95.2 (18th).

In the backfield, the Jaguars are welcoming back Travis Etienne Jr. who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1125 rushing yards and averaged 5 yards per attempt. Etienne Jr. is entering his 3rd season in the league.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Jaguars are returning last year’s two most productive players. Christian Kirk caught 84 balls for 1108 yards last season. Zay Jones finished with 823 receiving yards and five touchdowns.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Since the lines have opened, the Jaguars have moved from -3 point favorites to their current line of -5 (-110). The Colts are currently +5 (-110) point underdogs at home.

The side I’m playing on the spread, is to take the Colts at home. With the line, sitting at +5, I’d be looking to act now on getting some action on Indianapolis.

BetByState Expert Pick: Colts +5

Where to Bet This Game

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