Lions at Packers Betting Pick: Week 4

It seems impossible that the Lions are road favorites in Lambeau Field against the Packers. We still like them to cover the spread.

At 8:15 ET, the Lions and Packers meet up at Lambeau Field for a week 4 NFL matchup. The action will be broadcast on AMAZON, and it’s all happening on Thursday, September 28th.

In this matchup of NFC North division rivals, the Lions are listed as 1.5 point road favorites. Can they secure a road victory and cover the spread?

Betting Odds for Packers vs. Lions

  • Spread: Lions -1.5 | Packers +1.5
  • Total: 46
  • MoneyLine: Lions -121 | Packers +102

Why You Should Bet on the Packers

Even after falling behind by 17 at halftime, the Packers still went on to beat the Saints. The Packers’ offense finished the game with 340 yards of offense while allowing the Saints to finish with 252. The Packers went 8/18 compared to 4/14 for the Saints. Green Bay went into the game as the underdog (+1.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Quarterback Jordan Love threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Love completed 50% of his passes for 259 yards.

Taking a look at the Packers’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +6. This has resulted in an ATS record of 3-0. The average over/under line for the Packers this season stands at 40.8 points. Their games have averaged 47.3 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 2-1.

Coming into week 4, the Packers offense is 7th in the league at 26.7 points per contest. On the defensive front, the Packers enter the game as the 9th ranked team in tackles for loss and 5th in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 20.7 points per game against them, along with an average of 336.3 yards per contest.

The Packers have posted a 2-1 record in their previous three games. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.

Why You Should Bet on the Lions

After trailing by 10 at halftime, the Lions put together a good second-half and ended up beating the Falcons. Offensively, the Lions racked up 358 yards of total offense while going 4/14 on third down. On the other end, the Falcons ran for 44 and threw for 139. Going into the game, Detroit was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread. Quarterback Jared Goff threw for one touchdown and ran for 1 score. Goff completed 66% of his passes for 243 yards.

The Lions have put together a record of 2-1 against the spread. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +3. Detroit has an over/under record of 1-2 so far this year. Their average over/under betting line stands at 48.8 points, and their games have averaged a combined 45 points per game.

Offensively, the Lions have an average of 24 points per game, which is 11th in the NFL. Facing the Packers this week, the Lions defense has allowed an average of 21 points per game. They currently rank 11th in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 297.3 yards per contest.

Spanning across their last three games, Detroit have gone 2-1. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 1-2 on the over/under.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Initially starting as the 1.5-point favorites on the road, Green Bay is still favored, albeit with the lines now at +1.5.

In this matchup, I like see the Lions’ defense doing a good job slowing down the Packers’ offense. In their most recent game, they gave up just 183 and should build on that performance. I suggest locking in the Lions at -1.5.

  • BetByState Expert Pick: Lions -1.5

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