Raiders at Chargers Betting Pick: Week 4

The Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers will face off on Sunday, October 1st at 4:05 ET. You can find this week 4 NFL game between the Raiders and Chargers on CBS.

The Chargers are set as 5.5 point favorites at home in this AFC West showdown. Can they pull off a home win and cover the spread?

Betting Odds for Chargers vs. Raiders

  • Spread: Raiders +5.5 | Chargers -5.5
  • Total: 47.5
  • MoneyLine: Raiders +203 | Chargers -265

Why You Should Bet on the Chargers

In their 28-24 win over the Vikings, the Chargers actually trailed at halftime by a score 14-14 before making a second-half comeback. For the game, the Chargers’ offense averaged 7 yards per play compared to the Vikings at 6. The Vikings went 5/14 on third down. Going into the game, Los Angeles was favored by 0.5 and went on to cover the spread. Justin Herbert threw for 405 yards while completing 85% of his passes and throwing for 405. Herbert threw for three touchdowns.

Looking at their ATS performance so far, the Chargers are above .500 at 1-2. Their average scoring margin is -0.3. So far this season, games involving Los Angeles have averaged 57.7 points, ranking them 4th in the NFL. They currently have an over/under record of 2-1, with an average OU line of 49.3 points.

Offensively, the Chargers have an average of 28.7 points per game, which is 5th in the NFL. On defense, the Chargers are giving up an average of 337.0 passing yards per game and 113.7. In terms of sacks, Los Angeles is 5th among other defenses and they are giving up 29 points per game and 450.7 yards.

Los Angeles has put together a record of 2-1 over their past three games. This includes going 1-1-1 vs. the spread and posting an over-under mark of 1-1-1.

Why You Should Bet on the Raiders

Defensively, the Raiders gave up 333 yards of total offense to the Steelers in a 23-18 loss. The Steelers ran the ball for 105 yards while throwing for 228. On offense, the Raiders went 4/13 on 3rd down and finished with 362 yards of total offense. Las Vegas also lost the game vs. the spread as they were 3 point favorites. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo had a big game, throwing for 324 yards on a passer rating of 72. Garoppolo completed 63% of 44 attempts in the game.

As the underdog, Las Vegas has gone 1-1 this season compared to their ATS record of 0-1 as the favorite. At home, the Raiders are 0-1 ATS and 1-1 vs. the spread on the road. This season, Las Vegas games have seen an average of 40.7 points, which is 17th in the league. Their over/under record stands at 1-2, with an average OU line of 44.5 points.

Offensively, the Raiders have an average of 15 points per game, which is 24th in the NFL. Looking at Las Vegas’ defense, they currently stand 18th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 25.7 points per game and 347.7 yards per contest against them.

Over their last three regular season games, the Raiders have gone 1-2 straight up. Their record against the spread in this stretch is 1-2 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

From the time the lines were first released, Los Angeles has transitioned from -4.5 point favorites to their current line of -5.5 (-111). Conversely, Las Vegas is currently +5.5 (-110) point underdogs on the road.

A key matchup to watch in this game is the Raiders’ offense vs. the Chargers’ defense. Our projections have the Raiders building on their most recent 362 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. Los Angeles. I like the Raiders at +5.5.

  • BetByState Expert Pick: Raiders +5.5

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