Rams at Colts Betting Pick: Week 4

Facing off at 1:00 on Sunday, October 1st is the Los Angeles Rams and Indianapolis Colts. This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis IN. Carrying the game is FOX.

Indianapolis is set to take on the Rams in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 1 at home. Read on for my thoughts and betting angles.

Betting Odds for Colts vs. Rams

Spread: Rams +1 | Colts -1
Total: 46.5
MoneyLine: Rams -101 | Colts -118

Why You Should Bet on the Colts

Despite a slow start with no first-quarter points, the Colts rallied and secured the win. They generated 327 yards on offense and gave up 364 yards to the Ravens. Indianapolis went into the game as the underdog (+7.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Gardner Minshew threw for 227 yards while completing 61% of his passes and throwing for 227. Minshew threw for one touchdown.

The Colts’ scoring margin thus far is currently at +1.3. This has contributed to an ATS record of 2-1. Throughout this season, Indianapolis games have averaged 48 points, ranking them 7th in the NFL. They hold an over/under record of 2-1, with an average OU line of 42.8 points.

In terms of offense, the Colts are at 24.7 points per game, ranking them 9th in the NFL. On the defensive front, the Colts enter the game as the 1st ranked team in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 23.3 points per game against them, along with an average of 365.0 yards per contest.

Through their last three regular season contests, Indianapolis has a record of 0-3. In these contests, the team went just 0-3 against the spread, while going 2-1 on the over-under.

Why You Should Bet on the Rams

Defensively, the Rams gave up 309 yards of total offense to the Bengals in a 19-16 loss. The Bengals ran the ball for 67 yards while throwing for 242. On offense, the Rams went 1/11 on 3rd down and finished with 292 yards of total offense. Even though Los Angeles lost the game straight-up, they did cover the spread as 3.5-point underdogs. Matthew Stafford threw for 269 yards while completing 54% of his passes and throwing for 269. Stafford threw for one touchdown.

Heading into this week’s matchup, the Rams have been the underdog in all of their first three games. Their current ATS record sits at 2-0-1, accompanied by a scoring margin of +2.3. At 1-2 vs. the over/under, the Rams have an average margin of -1.5 versus their over/under lines. This season, their games have a combined average of 43.7 points per contest.

Regarding their offense, the Rams have an average 23 points per game, which places them 13th in the NFL. When it comes to defense, the Rams have given up 181.0 passing yards and 103.7 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, Los Angeles ranks 9th among other defenses. Coming into week 4, they have allowed 20.7 points per game and 284.7 yards.

Over their last three regular season games, the Rams have gone 1-2 straight up. Across this span, their ATS record sits at 2-0-1 to go along with an over-under mark of 1-2.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Pay attention to the point spread lines, as there has been noteworthy action. Initially, Los Angeles was the 1.5-point favorite. However, Indianapolis has now taken over as the favored team with a spread of 1.

Considering Indianapolis’ recent struggles in the passing game against Cincinnati, I’m not optimistic about a sudden change. That’s why I’m liking Los Angeles as 1-point underdogs.

BetByState Expert Pick: Rams +1

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