Rams at Seahawks Betting Pick: Week 1

You can find this week 1 NFL matchup between the Rams and Seahawks on FOX at 4:25 (9/10/23). This game will be played at Lumen Field in Seattle (WA).

In a matchup between two NFC West rivals, the Seahawks are 5 point favorites at home. Which side are we taking? Read on to get our pick and analysis.

Betting Odds for Seahawks vs. Rams

Spread: Rams +5 | Seahawks -5
Total: 46
MoneyLine: Rams +194 | Seahawks -244

Why You Should Bet on the Seahawks

Looking back to last season, the Seahawks finished with a record of 9-8 and lost a Wild-Card round matchup with the 49ers (41-23). Seattle’s road record last year was 4-5 and 5-4 at home. In the NFC-West, the Seahawks finished 2nd while going 4-3 in games within their division.

Last season, the Seahawks were 4-5 vs. the spread at home and 3-6 on the road. Overall, they were favored in six of their 18 games, going 3-3 straight-up and 1-5 ATS. As the underdog, they were 6-6 vs. the spread. Seattle wrapped up the season with an over/under record of 9-9.

Last season, Geno Smith completed 69.8% of his passes for a total of 4282 yards. For the season, he finished 8th among QB’s in passing yards and 3rd in touchdowns (30). Smith’s passer rating for the season was 100.9 (9th).

In the backfield, the Seahawks are welcoming back Kenneth Walker III who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1050 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Walker III is entering his 2nd season in the league.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Seahawks are returning last year’s two most productive players. DK Metcalf caught 90 balls for 1048 yards last season. Tyler Lockett finished with 1033 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Rams

Following a season where they wrapped up with a total record of just 5-12, the Rams are gearing up for their season opener. In the NFC-West, Los Angeles finished 3rd and posted a 1-5 record against their division opponents. On their home field, the Rams concluded with a 4-5 record, and when away from home, they went 1-7.

Last season, the Rams had an overall ATS record of 7-9-1 which included going 3-4-1 on the road and 4-5 at home. For the season, their games were 23rd in total points with an average of 40.6 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 6-10-1.

Last season, Matthew Stafford completed 68.0% of his passes for a total of 2087 yards. For the season, he finished 29th among QB’s in passing yards and 18th in touchdowns (10). Stafford’s passer rating for the season was 87.4 (33rd).

In the backfield, the Rams are welcoming back Cam Akers who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 786 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Akers is entering his 3rd season in the league.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Rams are returning last year’s two most productive players. Cooper Kupp caught 75 balls for 812 yards last season. Tyler Higbee finished with 620 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Since the lines have opened, the Seahawks have moved from -5.5 point favorites to their current line of -5 (-110). The Rams are currently +5 (-110) point underdogs on the road.

As road underdogs, I’m like the value of taking the Rams. Right now, they are at +5, and I’ll be locking them in at this number while I can.

BetByState Expert Pick: Rams +5

Where to Bet This Game

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