Steelers at Texans Betting Pick: Week 4

You can catch this week 4 NFL game between the Steelers and Texans on CBS at 1:00 (10/1/23). The matchup will take place at NRG Stadium in Houston (TX).

In this matchup of AFC conference rivals, the Steelers are listed as 3 point road favorites. Can they secure a road victory and cover the spread?

Betting Odds for Texans vs. Steelers

Spread: Steelers -3 | Texans +3
Total: 42
MoneyLine: Steelers -161 | Texans +136

Why You Should Bet on the Texans

On offense, the Texans racked up 366 yards in their 37-17 win over the Jaguars. For the game, the Texans ran for 86 yards on an average of 3.3 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 404 yards of total offense with 288 yards coming through the air and 116 on the ground. Houston went into the game as the underdog (+7.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. C.J. Stroud threw for 280 yards while completing 66% of his passes and throwing for 280. Stroud threw for two touchdowns.

The Texans’ scoring margin heading into this week’s game is at -2.3, putting their ATS record at 1-2. This season, Houston games have seen an average of 46.3 points, which is 11th in the league. Their over/under record stands at 2-1, with an average OU line of 42.2 points.

Houston’s offense comes in with an average of 22 points per game, which is currently 14th in the league. The Houston defense has four takeaways this season, positioning them 6th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 24.3 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 340.7 yards.

Through their last three regular season contests, Houston has a record of 0-3. In these matchups, they ended with an ATS record of 1-2 and an over-under mark of 2-1.

Why You Should Bet on the Steelers

Even though, the Steelers’ offense picked up a below-average number of first-downs, they stil went on to beat the Raiders. The Steelers finished with 333 yards of total offense compared to 362 for the Raiders. The Raiders averaged 6.7 yards per passing attempt and 3.6 yards per rush. Pittsburgh went into the game as the underdog (+3), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Kenny Pickett threw for 235 yards while completing 57% of his passes and throwing for 235. Pickett threw for two touchdowns.

The Steelers’ have a scoring margin of -4.7 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 2-1. The average over/under line for the Steelers this season stands at 41.2 points. Their games have averaged 42 points per game so far, resulting in an over/under record of 1-2.

As they enter week 4, the Steelers offense ranks 17th in the league, averaging 18.7 points per contest. The Steelers defense comes into the game with rankings of 4th in tackles for loss and 1st in sacks. Their opponents have been scoring 23.3 points per game and gaining 387.0 yards (per game).

Through their last three games, the Steelers have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Initially starting as the 4.5-point favorites on the road, Pittsburgh is still favored, albeit with the lines now at -3.

Despite being favored by 3 vs. the Texans, I don’t like how the Steelers struggled to move the ball in their last game with only 17 first-downs. Our recommendation is to take the Texans +3.

BetByState Expert Pick: Texans +3

Where to Bet This Game

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