Titans at Saints Betting Pick: Week 1

You can find this week 1 NFL matchup between the Titans and Saints on CBS at 1:00 (9/10/23). This game will be played at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans (LA).

In a non-conference matchup, the Saints are 3.5 point favorites at home. Keep reading to get my take on who wins and covers on Sunday.

Betting Odds for Saints vs. Titans

Spread: Titans +3 | Saints -3.5
Total: 41
MoneyLine: Titans +140 | Saints -173

Why You Should Bet on the Saints

Following a season where they wrapped up with a total record of just 7-10, the Saints are gearing up for their season opener. In the NFC-South, New Orleans finished 3rd and posted a 2-4 record against their division opponents. On their home field, the Saints concluded with a 4-5 record, and when away from home, they went 3-5.

Last season, the Saints were the underdog in 11 of their 17 games, going 5-6 vs. the spread and 3-8 straight-up in. New Orleans’ overall ATS record was 7-10 last season. The Saints’ over/under record for the season came in at 6-11.

Derek Carr comes over to the Saints after playing for the Raiders last season. In the 2022-2023 season, he finished with a passer rating of 86.3 and threw for 3522 yards in 15 games. Carr’s touchdown to interception ratio for the season was 24/14.

In the backfield, the Saints are welcoming back Jamaal Williams who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1066 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Williams is entering his 7th season in the league.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Saints are returning last year’s two most productive players. Chris Olave caught 72 balls for 1042 yards last season. Juwan Johnson finished with 508 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Titans

Despite finishing in second place in the AFC-South, the Titans still missed out on a Wild-Card berth and the playoffs. Tennessee’s overall record was 7-10 and 3-3 in the division. At home, the Titans put together a mark of 3-5 while going 4-5 on the road.

Tennessee ended last season with an over/under record of 5-12 and finished with an average scoring differential of -3.6. Against the spread, the Titans went 9-7-1, including 3-5 ATS at home and 6-2-1 on the road. For the season, Tennessee was favored eight times.

Last season, Ryan Tannehill completed 65.2% of his passes for a total of 2536 yards. For the season, he finished 22nd among QB’s in passing yards and 15th in touchdowns (13). Tannehill’s passer rating for the season was 94.6 (20th).

In the backfield, the Titans are welcoming back Derrick Henry who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1538 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Henry is entering his 8th season in the league.

At the receiver position, the Titans are looking for Chigoziem Okonkwo to take on a bigger role in the passing game. Okonkwo is the team’s leading returning receiver and finished with 32 catches for 450 yards last season.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Right now, the point spreads for both the Titans and Saints are right where they opened. Currently, the Saints favored by -3.5 at home while the Titans are +3.5 point road underdogs.

For this week 1 matchup, I am looking at the Saints as the best bet on the spread. Not only should the Saints pick up the win, but I see good value in them covering at -3.5.

BetByState Expert Pick: Saints -3.5

Where to Bet This Game

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