Packers at Bears Betting Pick: Week 1

On Sunday, September 10th at 4:25 PM ET, the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers face off at Soldier Field in Chicago, IL. FOX will carry the TV coverage for the game.

The odds for this week 1 NFC North matchup have the Bears as the 1 point favorites at home. Are they a lock to cover vs. the Packers? Read on to find out.

Betting Odds for Bears vs. Packers

Spread: Packers +1 | Bears -1
Total: 43
MoneyLine: Packers -103 | Bears -119

Why You Should Bet on the Bears

Following a season where they wrapped up with a total record of just 3-14, the Bears are gearing up for their season opener. In the NFC-North, Chicago finished 4th and posted a 0-6 record against their division opponents. On their home field, the Bears concluded with a 2-7 record, and when away from home, they went 1-7.

Chicago’s over/under record last season wrapped up at 10-7 with their games averaging 46.4 points per contest. When looking at how they finished vs. the spread, they were 5-11-1 with an average scoring margin of -8.1 point per game.

Last season, Justin Fields completed 60.4% of his passes for a total of 2242 yards. For the season, he finished 26th among QB’s in passing yards and 11th in touchdowns (17). Fields’ passer rating for the season was 85.2 (38th).

Heading into the game, the Bears have Khalil Herbert listed as the number one running back on the depth chart. Herbert is entering his 3rd season and finished with 731 rushing yards last season. Quarterback Justin Fields actually led the team in rushing attempts last season and finished with 1143 yards.

Justin Fields will be relying on Cole Kmet, who led the Bears’ wide receiver group last season with 544 receiving yards while hauling in seven touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Packers

The Packers are coming off a season in which they finished with an overall record of just 8-9. In the NFC-North, Green Bay was 3rd and went 3-3 against division opponents. At home, the Packers finished 5-4 while going 3-5 on the road.

Against the spread, the Packers put together a record of 8-9 on an average scoring margin of -0.1 points per game. As the favorite, the Packers were 4-7 vs. the spread while going 4-2 (ATS) as the underdog. Green Bay’s over/under record came in at 8-9.

Green Bay starting quarterback Jordan Love will taking over for Aaron Rodgers who led the Packers in passing yards last season (3695) and is now on the Jets. Last season, Love played in four games and finished with 195 yards on a completion percentage of 66.7%.

In the backfield, the Packers are welcoming back Aaron Jones who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 1121 rushing yards and averaged 5 yards per attempt. Jones is entering his 7th season in the league.

Romeo Doubs will need to take on an even bigger role in the Packers’ passing attack this season as Allen Lazard led the team in receiving yards last season and is no longer on the team. <__main__.WideReceiver object at 0x7fb211fa85e0> caught 42 balls for 425 yards last season.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

When looking at the point-spread line movements, the Bears have come down slightly after opening as 1.5-point favorites. The Bears and now sit at -1.

With a point-spread sitting at -1 in their favor, I have the Bears covering vs. the Packers. Look for the Bears to not only come out on top but to cover the spread at home.

BetByState Expert Pick: Bears -1

Where to Bet This Game

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