Texans at Ravens Betting Pick: Week 1

Kickoff for this matchup between the Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens is set for 1:00 PM ET. The game will be played in Baltimore, MD at M&T Bank Stadium with CBS carrying television coverage.

The odds for this week 1 AFC matchup have the Ravens as the 10 point favorites at home. Will the Ravens pull this one out? Find out how I see this game playing out on Sunday.

Betting Odds for Ravens vs. Texans

Spread: Texans +10 | Ravens -10
Total: 43.5
MoneyLine: Texans +360 | Ravens -493

Why You Should Bet on the Ravens

Looking back to last season, the Ravens finished with a record of 10-7 and lost a Wild-Card round matchup with the Bengals (24-17). Baltimore’s road record last year was 5-5 and 5-3 at home. In the AFC-North, the Ravens finished 2nd while going 3-4 in games within their division.

Last season, the Ravens were 2-6 vs. the spread at home and 7-3 on the road. Overall, they were favored in 12 of their 18 games, going 8-4 straight-up and 4-8 ATS. As the underdog, they were 5-1 vs. the spread. Baltimore wrapped up the season with an over/under record of 6-12.

Last season, Lamar Jackson completed 62.3% of his passes for a total of 2242 yards. For the season, he finished 26th among QB’s in passing yards and 11th in touchdowns (17). Jackson’s passer rating for the season was 91.1 (27th).

Heading into the game, the Ravens have J.K. Dobbins listed as the number one running back on the depth chart. Dobbins is entering his 4th season and finished with 520 rushing yards last season. Quarterback Lamar Jackson actually led the team in rushing attempts last season and finished with 764 yards.

When looking at the team’s wide receiver group, the Ravens are returning last year’s two most productive players. Mark Andrews caught 73 balls for 847 yards last season. Devin Duvernay finished with 407 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

Why You Should Bet on the Texans

The Texans are entering the new season after a previous campaign that saw them end with an overall record of 3-13-1. Within the AFC-South, Houston finished 4th with a record of 3-2-1 record when facing divisional opponents. At home the Texans concluded with a 0-7-1 record, and they went 3-6 on the road.

Last season, the Texans put together an ATS record of 7-8-2 which included going 5-3-1 at home and 2-5-1 at home. The team’s OU record for the season was 7-10 with 10 of their games failing to surpass this week’s line of 43.5 points.

At the quarterback position, the Texans are turning to rookie C.J. Stroud out of Ohio State. Stroud was drafted in the 1st round in this past year’s draft. Houston’s leading passer from last season was Davis Mills who threw for 3118 yards on a completion percentage of 61.0%. For the season, he finished with 17 compared to 15 interceptions.

In the backfield, the Texans are welcoming back Dameon Pierce who is the team’s top returning running back in terms of attempts and is coming off a season in which he finished with 939 rushing yards and averaged 4 yards per attempt. Pierce is entering his 2nd season in the league.

At the receiver position, the Texans are looking for Nico Collins to take on a bigger role in the passing game. Collins is the team’s leading returning receiver and finished with 37 catches for 481 yards last season.

Final Prediction & Where To Bet

Since the lines have opened, the Ravens have moved from -9.5 point favorites to their current line of -10 (-110). The Texans are currently +10 (-111) point underdogs on the road.

My point-spread pick for this Texans vs. Ravens matchup is to take the Texans to cover on the road. As of now, they are 10-point underdogs and I expect them to cover at this number.

BetByState Expert Pick: Texans +10

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